???? Roland Garros, Final Prediction
?? (8) Ashleigh Barty vs. ?? Marketa Vondrousova
A huge opportunity presents itself to Ashleigh Barty and Marketa Vondrousova on Saturday in Paris as the pair go head-to-head with a maiden Grand Slam title up for grabs. This will be a new experience for both players, both first time Grand Slam singles finalists. Whilst it is Barty who seemingly has the edge on paper, I think Vondrousova has a very good chance here. It is Ash Barty who head into this match as the favourite given her superior ranking and a perfect 2-0 head-to-head record over the Czech. However, I think Vondrousova has what It takes to cause an upset in Saturday’s Roland Garros final.
Marketa Vondrousova has been incredibly impressive all tournament to reach the final without dropping a set. Unlike most players on tour, I don’t think Vondrousova will be especially troubled by Barty’s variety on this surface. To the contrary, I think this is going to be a bad matchup for Barty. Vondrousova plays with the perfect mix of power and defense and in my opinion has Barty covered from the baseline. The heavy conditions in Paris further favour Vondrousova in this match-up.
Vondrousova has the best return game on the WTA tour, statistically she has won a higher percentage of return games than any other player on tour this year. Ash Barty is a serve orientated player, when Barty is playing well she is having good success behind her serve, Vondrousova is not likely to allow this, just like she did not allow Konta to dominate on serve in the semi-finals. This makes me think this is a good match-up for Vondrousova.
I believe clay is Vondrousova’s best surface whilst I still think clay is Barty’s worst surface. Vondrousova’s point construction and discipline on this surface is awesome whilst Barty has looked a little lost at times in her last couple of matches when her opponents have been on. Furthermore, I am very impressed by Vondrousova’s mental strength and attitude, she is fazed by nothing and I think this attitude will stand up under the greatest pressure.