Wimbledon R4: (5) Caroline Wozniacki vs (20) Garbine Muguruza
Caroline Wozniacki and Garbine Muguruza will go head to head in another fascinating fourth round match on Magic Monday at SW19. The big hitting Spaniard up against the defensive Wozniacki. Both Wozniacki and Muguruza will be looking to reach the quarter-finals at the All England Club for the very first time in their careers.
Caroline Wozniacki has been mainly untroubled on route to the fourth round. The Dane comfortably defeated Saisai Zheng in the opening round and survived a late lapse in concentration to defeat Allertova in straight sets. Wozniacki’s third round victory over Camila Giorgi was her most impressive performance of the tournament.
Wozniacki reached the fourth round by easily accounting for a wayward Camila Giorgi, prevailing 6-2 6-2 to level her head to head record against the Italian. Wozniacki was at her consistent best, barely putting a foot wrong in a stubborn performance, hitting just 3 unforced errors in the entire match. Wozniacki put the ball back into play and watched Giorgi self-destruct on the other side of the net.
Wozniacki has seemed happy to play from well behind the baseline in her opening three matches, hardly taking any risks. The Dane will need to be far more aggressive if she is to trouble Muguruza on Monday, the Spaniard is unlikely to self-destruct like Giorgi did on Saturday and like Allertova did in the second set tiebreaker.
Garbine Muguruza reached the fourth round at Wimbledon for the first time in her career with an extremely impressive 7-6 1-6 6-2 victory over an in form Angelique Kerber. Garbine has now knocked Angie out of a Grand Slam twice in a row, repeating her third round victory over Angie at Roland Garros.
In the first set, Muguruza and Kerber produced the best set of tennis of the Championships thus far and perhaps the year. Muguruza saved an astonishing 9 set points before claiming an epic first set in 83 minutes. The two played arguably the point of the year in the first set tiebreaker, a 33 point rally that left both ladies gasping for air.
Garbine went missing in the second set, it looked like the experienced German would outlast Muguruza. However, in the third set, Muguruza’s aggression was too much for a tiring Kerber to handle. Garbine started to dominate Angie’s served, which got weaker and weaker. Garbine bullied the ball from start to finish, ending the match with 57 winners, one of the best performances of her career. Garbine is now well positioned to reach the quarter-finals and perhaps beyond, given the departure of Petra Kvitova.
Garbine Muguruza holds a 2-1 head to head record over Wozniacki and should be considered the favourite heading into this one. Garbine won the first two encounters between the pair, including a victory at the Australian Open last year. It was Wozniacki who won their most recent encounter, a 6-4 2-6 6-2 victory in Tokyo last year. Garbine made a mess of that one, hitting far too many unforced errors in a wayward performance.
Matches between these two will always be on Garbine’s racquet. The Spaniard has the ability to smash Wozniacki off the court, there is little Wozniacki can do to stop her. One of the biggest keys for Wozniacki will be her serve, she simply must serve well, otherwise she will be in big trouble. It will all come down to how consistent Garbine is and how well she is able to execute her game.
This match is all about the Spaniard, I’m certainly siding with Garbine in this one. The Spaniard was very impressive on Saturday, if she can beat Kerber on grass there is absolutely no reason why she can’t beat Wozniacki on grass. Kerber can be seen as a better, more aggressive version of Wozniacki on grass.
Garbine is the big time player, she loves the big stage and rarely puts in a poor performance in matches like this. Wozniacki is a tough opponent, she will run for every ball and put most back into the court, however Garbine’s aggression should be a bit too much for Wozniacki to handle on this occasion. I suspect Garbine needs to play poorly for Wozniacki to stand any chance in this match.
Prediction: Garbine Muguruza to defeat Caro Wozniacki in 2 sets