St. Petersburg / Monterrey Day 1 Betting Analysis

WTAADDICT – St. Petersburg / Monterrey Day 1

St. Petersburg R1: Ana Bogdan vs. Aliaksandra Sasnovich

The opening match of the 2021 St. Petersburg Ladies Trophy features two players desperate for a win at this level. Bogdan has a modest 4-4 win/loss record in 2021, whilst Sasnovich has a 4-5 record this year. Both are currently hovering around 100 in the world because of their disappointing results which stretch back for a couple of years now.

I feel there is some value with Bogdan here as a slight outsider, the Romanian is the more solid and reliable of the pair, you generally know what you will get from Bogdan, the same can’t be said for Sasnovich, especially in her current state. Bogdan has lost to some tough opponents this year (Barty, Collins & Vondrousova) and is playing better than her results suggest. In a match-up where both are unlikely to be at their best, the greater consistency and margin to the Bogdan game should give her the edge in this one.

Pick: Ana Bogdan – 3 units @ $2.1 (bet365)

Monterrey R1: Leylah Fernandez vs. CoCo Vandeweghe

CoCo Vandeweghe’s return to the WTA Tour ended in 3-set loss to Mihaela Buzarnescu last week in Guadalajara, it was the American’s first competitive match in just over 12 months. It was a messy match, riddled with errors. Vandeweghe looks set for another opening round setback when she faces Leylah Fernandez in the opening round in Monterrey, another lefty, but an even better player than Buzarnescu.

Fernandez has the type of game to make life very tough for a rusty Vandeweghe. The former US Open finalist is way off her best level, she is horribly inconsistent at the moment. Vandeweghe’s backhand is a weakness, playing a lefty is a problem for her, Fernandez will use angles, different spins and paces to draw a heap of errors from Vandeweghe. Expect Fernandez to win this quite comfortably.

Pick: Leylah Fernandez – 5 units @ $1.4 (Pinnacle)

WTA Dubai Day 4 – Betting Analysis

WTA 1000 – Dubai – Day 4 betting analysis

(6) Belinda Bencic vs. Anastasia Potapova

Bencic is being underrated by the bookmakers once again. I would rate Bencic a comfortable favourite in this match-up. Bencic made a bad start to the season, probably why she is being underrated, but Bencic has started to turn things around, a run to the final in Adelaide a few weeks ago has kick-started a form reversal. Bencic claimed a hard-fought 3 set win over Veronika Kudermetova in her opening match of the tournament, a very similar opponent to Potapova, in terms of playing style. Potapova is a streaky player, she is capable but probably only wins in a match-up like this 2 out of 10 times at this stage of her young career. Bencic likes these matchups, she absorbs and redirects pace extremely well, she had the perfect practise for this match-up yesterday against Kudermetova. Bencic easily defeated Potapova in their only previous meeting, a 6/2 6/1 win in Toronto in 2019. Bencic is a former champion in Dubai, having won the event two years ago, a classy player, starting to gain momentum, willing to back her strongly in these circumstances.

Pick – Belinda Bencic – 10 units @ $1.8 (bet365)

Svetlana Kuznetsova vs. Barbora Krejcikova

Kuznetsova hasn’t been making much noise lately but that is beginning to change, a pair of notable wins for the Russian sees her enter this match with momentum on her side. Kuznetsova came from 3-5 down in the deciding set to beat Wang Qiang in the opening round before upsetting the top seeded Elina Svitolina from a set down. In this type of form Kuznetsova is very much capable of defeating Krejcikova.

Pick: Svetlana Kuznetsova – 2 units @ $2.37 (bet365)
(2) Karolina Pliskova vs. Jessica Pegula

Pegula is in great form, no doubt, but all good things must come to an end. Pliskova has consistently been in the top 10 for reason, she is usually successful against these types of players, that wasn’t the case when the pair met last week in Doha, Pegula won easily, hence why the American heads into this match as the favourite. However, things are unlikely to play out the same way here. Pliskova is a former champion in Dubai and usually plays well at this event, she will be determined to avoid back-to-back defeats to Pegula and is good enough to adjust and get it done here, worth a shot at these odds.

Pick: Karolina Pliskova – 2 units @ $2.3 (bet365)
(3) Aryna Sabalenka vs. (15) Anett Kontaveit

Sabalenka made an unconvincing start to the tournament in her win over Alize Cornet, her level has seemingly dropped over the last few weeks where she lost a couple of matches in a row in disappointing fashion. Kontaveit is quietly building a solid run of form, highlighted by a big win over an in-form Jennifer Brady in Doha last week. Kontaveit has claimed a pair of comfortable straight set wins this week and is very much capable of beating Sabalenka if she is slightly off her game, which seems to be a likely enough scenario.

Pick: Anett Kontaveit – 2 units @ $2.62 (bet365)

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs. Dominika Cibulkova, Strasbourg Final Preview

?? Internationaux de Strasbourg, ? Final Preview
?? (3) Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs. ?? (5) Dominika Cibulkova

A fascinating final is set for Saturday in Strasbourg as the third seeded Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova takes on the fifth seeded Dominika Cibulkova. Pavlyuchenkova and Cibulkova entered Strasbourg as two of the most disappointing performers in 2018, both have really struggled to find their best tennis this year. It would be a huge confidence boost for either player to win this title, who will step up and take this chance?

Pavlyuchenkova has cruised through to the final in Strasbourg without dropping a set. The Russian started the event with a 6-0 6-0 crushing of Tatjana Maria before claiming a tight 6-4 6-4 win over Natalia Vikhlyantseva. Pavlyuchenkova produced a solid performance to beat Zarina Diyas 6-4 6-2 in the quarter-finals before taking the opening set over Ashleigh Barty 6-4 at which point the Aussie retired injured, handing Pavlyuchenkova a place in her first final of 2018.

Cibulkova cruised through her first three matches in Strasbourg, beating Chloe Paquet, Reka-Luca Jani and defending champion Samantha Stosur in straight sets. Cibulkova’s big test came at the semi-final stage where she claimed a gutsy 2-6 7-6 6-1 win over Mihaela Buzarnescu. It was a typical Cibulkova comeback, coming from a set and a break down to reach her second final of 2018.

These two are familiar foes, it is Cibulkova who holds a 7-3 record over Pavlyuchenkova. Cibulkova has won 5 of the last 6 matches between the pair and has won the only two matches between the pair on clay.

Signs seemingly point to a Cibulkova win but Pavlyuchenkova will be no pushover.

To view my analysis / prediction for this match: Click here

Dominika Cibulkova vs. Samantha Stosur, Strasbourg QF Preivew

Internationaux de Strasbourg, QF Preview
?? (5) Dominika Cibulkova vs. ?? Samantha Stosur

The fourth and final quarter-final in Strasbourg promises to be the best of the lot as defending champion Sam Stosur comes up against the 5th seeded Dominika Cibulkova. Cibulkova and Stosur are the two biggest names left in the draw, the two most accomplished players heading into the quarter-final stage.

Cibulkova arrived in Strasbourg in need of wins after really struggling thus far during the clay court swing. It has been a good start to the tournament for Cibulkova who has claimed straight set wins over Chloe Paquet and Reka-Luca Jani. Clearly Cibulkova’s first big test will come against Stosur.

Stosur is also yet to drop a set this week and has come up against good opposition. Stosur started the week with a 6-3 6-2 win over Sofia Kenin before beating Daria Gavrilova 6-3 6-4 in what was a rematch of last year’s final in Strasbourg.

Interestingly it is Stosur who holds a 5-1 head-to-head record over Cibulkova heading into this match. Stosur won their first 3 matches in straight sets including all 3 of their previous matches on clay. Most recently it was Cibulkova who won 7-5 6-4 in Doha last year.

To view my analysis / prediction for this match: Click here

Mihaela Buzarnescu vs. Su-Wei Hsieh, Strasbourg QF Preview

Internationaux de Strasbourg, QF Preview
?? (4) Mihaela Buzarnescu vs. ?? (8) Su-Wei Hsieh

The only quarter-final in Strasbourg on Thursday that features two seeded players will see the 4th seeded Mihaela Buzarnescu take on the 8th seeded Su-Wei Hsieh. Buzarnescu and Hsieh have followed similar paths in recent times, both have reached new heights in recent times despite being in their thirties.

Buzarnescu and Hsieh have had similar passages to the quarter-final stage in Strasbourg. Both came through tough opening round matches from a set down, Buzarnescu claimed a 4-6 7-6 6-3 win over Magda Linette whilst Hsieh came from a set and break down to beat Kaia Kanepi 2-6 7-5 6-2.

Both had more comfortable wins on Wednesday. Buzarnescu survived a late scare to beat Elena Rybakina 6-3 7-6 whilst Hsieh claimed a surprisingly comfortable 6-2 6-3 win over Lucie Safarova.

This is great opportunity for both to reach a rare semi-final at this level, who will take it?

To view my analysis / prediction for this match: Click here

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs. Zarina Diyas, Strasbourg QF Preview

Internationaux de Strasbourg, QF Preview
?? (3) Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs. ?? Zarina Diyas

An interesting quarter-final clash in Strasbourg on Thursday sees Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova and Zarina Diyas go head-to-head for the very first time. This should be a fairly even match-up between two very solid players, Pavlyuchenkova is more comfortable on clay but Diyas has generally produced a better level of tennis in 2018.

Embed from Getty Images

After a really poor start to the year Pavlyuchenkova’s form has steadied of late as she is now into a second quarter-final during the clay court swing. Pavlyuchenkova started the week with a 6-0 6-0 demolition of Tatjana Maria, her first career victory without dropping a single game. The Russian secured her spot in the final 8 with a solid 6-4 6-4 win over Natalia Vikhlyantseva.

Zarina Diyas is through to her first quarter-final since Shenzhen in week 1 of the season. Diyas started her Strasbourg campaign with an comfortable 6-2 6-4 win over Katarzyna Piter before eliminating the 6th seeded Timea Babos 7-6 4-6 6-2.

Pavlyuchenkova and Diyas will both be playing for a place in their first semi-final of 2018, who will make their way through to the final 4 in Strasbourg?

To view my analysis / prediction for this match: Click here

Ashleigh Barty vs. Qiang Wang, Strasbourg QF Preview

Internationaux de Strasbourg, QF Preview
?? (1) Ashleigh Barty vs. ?? Qiang Wang

Thursday’s first quarter-final in Strasbourg sees the top seeded Ash Barty take on China’s Qiang Wang. This will be the first career meeting between Barty and Wang, on paper it looks like a bit of a mismatch, The Aussie will head into this match as a strong favourite and rightfully so.

Barty has been fairly untroubled in her opening few matches in Strasbourg, the top seed started the week with a 6-4 6-4 win over Luksika Kumkhum before beating Pauline Parmentier 6-1 6-4 to match her quarter-final showing at this event last year. This week now looms as a great opportunity for Barty to add to her title collection.

Wang’s journey to the quarter-final stage has been less straightforward. Wang came from a set down in each of her victories on route to the final 8, a 3-6 6-1 6-4 win over Camila Rosatello and a 4-6 7-5 6-2 win over the 7th seeded Danielle Collins. Wang’s win over Collins was one of her better wins of the year thus far, a very solid performance as the level of Collins deteriorated.

Can Wang move past another seeded opponent or will Barty be too strong?

To view my analysis / prediction for this match: Click here

Daria Gavrilova vs. Samantha Stosur, Strasbourg R2 Preview

Internationaux de Strasbourg, R2 Preview
?? (2) Daria Gavrilova vs. ?? Samantha Stosur

An all-Aussie second round clash in Strasbourg sees the second seeded Daria Gavrilova take on Sam Stosur in what is a rematch of last year’s final in Strasbourg. In 2017 it was Stosur that got the better of Gavrilova in 3 tight sets to win the title, Gavrilova will be looking for revenge here and the recent form of the pair suggests that is likely.

Gavrilova and Stosur both started their 2018 Strasbourg campaigns with straight set wins, however, in contrasting fashion. Gavrilova was forced to work extremely hard for a 7-6 7-6 win over Jennifer Brady whilst Stosur started her title defense with a fairly comfortable 6-3 6-2 win over Sofia Kenin.

The head-to-head record between the pair is split at 2 wins apiece. These two know each other well, the Fed Cup teammates often train together and will be aware of each other’s strengths and weaknesses. The most recent match between the pair took place not too long ago in Prague where the match was level at 1 set all before Gavrilova was forced to retire due to injury.

Stosur has won both of their previous match of clay after also winning in the Strasbourg final last year, will it be third time lucky for Gavrilova?

To view my analysis / prediction for this match: Click here

Su-Wei Hsieh vs. Lucie Safarova, Strasbourg R2 Preview

Internationaux de Strasbourg, R2 Preview
?? (8) Su-Wei Hsieh vs. ?? (wc) Lucie Safarova

Su-Wei Hsieh and Lucie Safarova will renew hostilities when they meet at the second round stage in Strasbourg on Wednesday. It is Safarova who has won all four of the previous matches between the pair but it is Hsieh who is having the better season. Hsieh is playing some of her best tennis at the moment whilst Safarova is playing in her first tournament in about 3 months. This looks like Hsieh’s best chance to beat Safarova.

The 8th seeded Hsieh started her Strasbourg campaign with a gutsy 2-6 7-5 6-2 win over Kaia Kanepi. Hsieh looked down and out when she trailed by a set and a break midway through the second set but Kanepi had issues with her back and her level quickly deteriorated, Hsieh was good enough to take advantage.

In her first match since Dubai earlier this year, Safarova claimed a 6-2 4-6 6-3 win over Marina Melinkova. This is only the 5th tournament of the year for Safarova as she suffered yet another stint on the side-lines due to a nasty viral illness. It is important for Safarova to gain some momentum this week in Strasbourg before heading to Roland Garros where she is a former finalist.

Safarova has a perfect 4-0 H2H record over Hsieh, their most recent match was their closest. A 1-6 6-3 7-6 win for Safarova on the grass of Nottingham last year. Hsieh will fancy her chances here against a rusty Safarova, can she pull off the upset?

To view my analysis / prediction for this match: click here

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs. Natalia Vikhlyantseva, Strasbourg R2 Preview

Internationaux de Strasbourg, R2 Preview
?? (3) Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs. ?? Natalia Vikhlyantseva

An all-Russian battle sees the third seeded Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova take on Natalia Vikhlyantseva for a spot in the quarter-finals at the Internationaux de Strasbourg.

Pavlyuchenkova has been one of 2018’s biggest disappointments and will desperately want to find some form this week before heading to Paris. The early signs were good for Pavlyuchenkova as she thrashed Tatjana Maria 6-0 6-0 in the opening round. Vikhlyantseva looms as a much tougher test on Wednesday, Vikhlyantseva started her Strasbourg campaign with a hard-fought 6-3 7-6 win over Tereza Mrdeza and has been in decent form of late.

The only previous match between the pair ended in a 6-2 6-2 win for Pavlyuchenkova at the Australian Open last year. Expect Vikhlyantseva to be much more competitive on this occasion but can she cause an upset?

To view my analysis / prediction for this match: Click here