Roland Garros R2: preview + prediction:
🇯🇵 (2) Naomi Osaka vs. 🇷🇴 Ana Bogdan
Naomi Osaka continues her 2021 Roland Garros campaign on Wednesday when she comes up against Romania’s Ana Bogdan. Osaka will be looking to extend her 15-match winning streak at Grand Slam events and equal her best showing at Roland Garros by reaching the third round. Meanwhile Bogdan will be aiming to reach the third round in Paris for the first time having just equalled her best performance at Roland Garros by reaching the second round fort he third time.
Osaka’s decision to skip press conferences at Roland Garros for her mental health has been the biggest story of the tournament thus far. An unfortunate distraction for Osaka, a move that has blown up in her face given all of the negative responses to her decision. The 4-time major champion dealt with the pressure well enough in her opening round win on Sunday as she defeated Maria Patricia Tig 6-4 7-6. Osaka was certainly not at her best and displayed signs of her vulnerabilities on the red clay but was just good enough in the important moments to sneak through. Meanwhile, Bogdan cruised into the second round in Paris with an easy 6-1 6-3 victory over Italian qualifier Elisabetta Cocciaretto.
Osaka was pushed by Tig in the opening round, but it never felt like Tig was quite good enough to beat Osaka, despite the Japanese players vulnerabilities at Roland Garros. Expect it to be a different story on Wednesday, Bogdan is tougher than Tig, and will ask more questions of Osaka. Bogdan has the stamina, attitude and consistent baseline game to draw Osaka into extended rallies, a situation where Osaka’s patience and movement on the red dirt will be tested. Furthermore, the continuing saga surrounding Osaka’s decision to skip press conferences is surely acting as a distraction for the second seed, the outside noise will only amplify her insecurities at this event.
Got to like Bogdan’s odds in this situation, the value is with the Romanian. Osaka is not the same player on clay, she is yet to adapt her game to this surface. Bogdan is very comfortable on clay and isn’t afraid of the big stage, the scene is set for an upset.
Tip: Ana Bogdan – 2 units @ $3.68 (Pinnacle)