Serena Williams vs Angelique Kerber, Australian Open Final Preview

Australian Open Final: (1) Serena Williams vs (7) Angelique Kerber

Serena Williams is now just one win away from winning her 22nd Grand Slam title and her 7th Australian Open title. The world number 1 will come up against first time Grand Slam finalist Angelique Kerber on Saturday night in the 2016 Australian Open final. On paper this looks like a massive mismatch given Serena’s incredible record at this stage of Grand Slams, However Angie is not without a chance, it will be interesting to see how far Angie can push Serena, could the German cause a massive upset?

Serena Williams enters her 26th Grand Slam final in ominous form. The World number 1 has not dropped a set on route to the final and seems to be getting better and better every match. Serena started the event with reasonably comfortable straight set victories over Camila Giorgi, Su-Wei Hsieh, Daria Kasatkina and Margarita Gasparyan, The American barely raised a sweat in any of those matches and has certainly upped her level in the later stages of the tournament.

 

Serena’s latest two victories are where she has made her biggest statement, once again reminding the world that she is clearly the number 1 player in the world. Serena crushed Maria Sharapova 6-4 6-1 in the quarter-finals before producing her best tennis of the tournament thus far in a 6-0 6-4 demolition of Agnieszka Radwanska in the semi-finals. The American’s first set of tennis in her semi-final win over Radwanska was probably the best set of tennis anyone has played all year; Serena was playing at a level that simply cannot be matched by anyone on tour. If Serena produces a similar level of tennis on Saturday, she will be almost impossible to beat.

For a third year in a row a finalist at the Australian Open has saved a match point in an earlier round. Angelique Kerber saved a match in her opening round match against Misaki Doi and hasn’t looked back since. The German has not dropped a set since her first round scare, recording straight set victories over Alexandra Dulgheru, Madison Brengle, Annika Beck, Victoria Azarenka and Johanna Konta. Angie’s 6-3 7-5 quarter-final victory over Victoria Azarenka was her most notable victory of the week and perhaps one of the most notable victories of her career. Angie backed up that victory very professionally with a comfortable semi-final win over Johanna Konta.

 

Serena Williams holds a 5-1 head-to-head record over Angelique Kerber. The world number 1 has won the four most recent encounters between the pair, all in straight sets. The most recent clash came in the final at Stanford back in 2014, Serena won a tight opening set before running away with the match to claim a 7-6 6-3 victory. Angie’s only career victory over Serena was back in 2012 in Cincinnati where she won 6-4 6-4. Angie will need to produce a stunning performance if she is to replicate that victory on Saturday night.

Serena is the clear favourite heading into this match for numerous reasons. Firstly, Serena is clearly far more experienced at this stage of a Grand Slam and she often saves her best tennis for Grand Slam finals. Serena has a 21-4 record in Grand Slam finals. Secondly, Serena’s form heading into the final is ominous, the world number 1 hasn’t dropped a set all tournament and has played her best tennis in the two matches leading up to the final.

 

Angelique Kerber is unlikely to be a pushover, the German is also heading into the final playing great tennis and will enter this match feeling as though she has nothing to lose given the odds are clearly not in her favour. Angie does have the ability to compete with Serena, that has been clear in their most recent clashes however what is also clear is that Angie doesn’t have the firepower to trouble Serena when she is at her best. Angie’s serve is going to be a real problem in this match-up and her hesitancy to come forward is also a problem in this match-up. I suspect Serena will ultimately be too good in a reasonably tight match. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Angie win a set and she isn’t without a chance to cause an upset. 

Prediction: Serena Williams to defeat Angelique Kerber in 3 sets

0 responses to “Serena Williams vs Angelique Kerber, Australian Open Final Preview”

  1. Nerves are going to be a factor for both women. 64 64 or 75 64 for Serena would not be a surprise. I think the winner will get the one who settled into the moment first.

    Or Serena will crush Kerber in 50 minutes. Lol

    • Yepp nerves are a big factor here, it is extremely important for Angie to make a great start. If she makes a great start she actually has a chance here otherwise she will be in big trouble

  2. For once, WTA Addict has actually predicted Serena correctly! Serena has reached the final without dropping a set – she’s a perfect 12 for 12 on sets won and came through with flying colors. Despite being broken 4 times each once by Camila Giorgi, Margarita Gasparyan, Maria Sharapova, and Agnieszka Radwanska, Serena’s match stats are solid – 46 aces, 10 double faults, 164 winners, and 98 unforced errors. Her average of first serves in is 60.5 % and her average of first serves won is 83.83%. She also has an average of 60% second serves won. But on the other hand, Kerber has already dropped one set (via tiebreak), which was in her opening match. Her match stats are 15 aces, 14 double faults, 147 winners, and 115 unforced errors. Her average of first serves in is 74.4% and her average of first serves won is 66.83%. She also has an average of 54.83% second serves won. Despite getting a higher average percentage of first serves in, the number of double faults that Kerber has served throughout the tournament seems to have fluctuated. She has served more double faults than aces in her matches, unlike Serena. Kerber has committed 17 more unforced errors and served 4 more double faults in her match stats. This match seems to be more in favor of Serena, as Serena has had a rest day off in between for all of her matches. But, Kerber had to play her quarterfinal and semi-final matches back-to-back on Tuesday and Wednesday without a day off. Serena already said that that Kerber has beaten her before. So, she is very aware of Kerber’s game and will come out on top with her solid A game. Kerber will try to put up a good fight. But based on the match stats and Serena leading Kerber 5-1 in their head-to-head matches, I am predicting Serena to win this match in two sets with the scoreline being either 6-3 6-0, 6-3 6-4, 6-3 7-5, 6-1 6-1, or 6-1 6-2 and this will most likely be the first time that Serena wins the 2016 Australian Open without dropping a set.

    • Thanks for your comment..
      Not sure what you mean by ‘for once’
      I have only predicted her to lose once this tournament… and before the tournament I said she would be the champion despite most ‘experts’ saying she couldn’t do it because of some false injury…

  3. It’s always the same with these commenters. When WTA Addict predicts something different, these guys will start gawking and getting their panties in wad like some there’s a stick up their rear end. When there’s a prediction for the favorite, they always say they are correct or don’t bother to comment.

    • Wrong.

      Everyone can give their opinions here. If it is a sensible one, I think most people will agree. For once, WTAaddict predicted Aga to beat Serena in 3 was not sensible at all. Everyone knows Aga has no chance against Serena. As we know, Serena usually loses to herself because she plays badly,

      As for this match, I may be wrong but I have a strong feeling that Kerber may win one set from Serena if she can maintain her serves well. I don’t think this is an easy match for Serena.

      Somehow, Kerber has improved her serves and groundstrokes quite a lot. I think she should be able to challenge Serena if she can control her nerves as well.

      I will go with Serena in 3 to give some credits to Kerber.

      • I agree that Angie is not really the type of opponent that Serena is likely to totally dominant. A lot will depend on how well Angie serves, I guess tonight we wilk see if that serve really has improved

  4. Ha ha ha..I was right. 3 setters.

    2-1 both ways to make some good money though I want Serena to win.

    WTA addict should predict Kerber to win in 3 lolll!

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