St. Petersburg / Monterrey Day 1 Betting Analysis

WTAADDICT – St. Petersburg / Monterrey Day 1

St. Petersburg R1: Ana Bogdan vs. Aliaksandra Sasnovich

The opening match of the 2021 St. Petersburg Ladies Trophy features two players desperate for a win at this level. Bogdan has a modest 4-4 win/loss record in 2021, whilst Sasnovich has a 4-5 record this year. Both are currently hovering around 100 in the world because of their disappointing results which stretch back for a couple of years now.

I feel there is some value with Bogdan here as a slight outsider, the Romanian is the more solid and reliable of the pair, you generally know what you will get from Bogdan, the same can’t be said for Sasnovich, especially in her current state. Bogdan has lost to some tough opponents this year (Barty, Collins & Vondrousova) and is playing better than her results suggest. In a match-up where both are unlikely to be at their best, the greater consistency and margin to the Bogdan game should give her the edge in this one.

Pick: Ana Bogdan – 3 units @ $2.1 (bet365)

Monterrey R1: Leylah Fernandez vs. CoCo Vandeweghe

CoCo Vandeweghe’s return to the WTA Tour ended in 3-set loss to Mihaela Buzarnescu last week in Guadalajara, it was the American’s first competitive match in just over 12 months. It was a messy match, riddled with errors. Vandeweghe looks set for another opening round setback when she faces Leylah Fernandez in the opening round in Monterrey, another lefty, but an even better player than Buzarnescu.

Fernandez has the type of game to make life very tough for a rusty Vandeweghe. The former US Open finalist is way off her best level, she is horribly inconsistent at the moment. Vandeweghe’s backhand is a weakness, playing a lefty is a problem for her, Fernandez will use angles, different spins and paces to draw a heap of errors from Vandeweghe. Expect Fernandez to win this quite comfortably.

Pick: Leylah Fernandez – 5 units @ $1.4 (Pinnacle)

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