WTA 250 Guadalajara – Final
(4) Sara Sorribes Tormo vs. (wc) Eugenie Bouchard
Form: Eugenie Bouchard is a totally unexpected finalist in Guadalajara. It would have seemed reasonable for the Canadian to bomb out in the opening round after arriving from France just one day before her opening match. Bouchard has played at a decent level, higher than expected, though it must be said that she has had a lot of help from her opponents to get to this stage. None of her opponents have played great tennis, in fact most of them played quite poorly. Sorribes Tormo will be a big step up in opposition for the Canadian, one that will make the Canadian work for every single point, no gifts here. Sorribes Tormo has been extremely solid all tournament and heads into her first ever WTA final fresh from an impressive straight set win over Marie Bouzkova.
H2H: Sorribes Tormo won the only previous meeting between the pair, a 7-6 6-3 victory in 2017. That match was also played on a hard court in Mexico, in Monterrey.
Analysis: I’m going to side with the Spaniard here. I don’t think Bouchard can consistently play at a high enough level to get the better of such a solid opponent, especially under pressure in a final. Bouchard hasn’t played a solid baseline player all tournament, each of her previous opponents have hit a heap of unforced errors, that isn’t going to happen here. Sorribes Tormo plays with the right mix of consistency and versatility to make life very tough for Bouchard, the odds are well and truly against Bouchard winning a 5th match in 5 days.
Pick: Sorribes Tormo – 5 units @ $1.72 (bet365)
Tips based on a 10-unit betting system